Texas Rangers - Toronto Blue JaysThe match-up of this game is AL Cy Young frontrunner left-hander David Price for the Blue Jays against Rangers' right-hander Yovani Gallardo. Gallardo has been surprisingly very good in the postseason in the past, having thrown 26 innings with 20 strikeouts allowing 22 hits and only 6 earned runs. While Price has not faired as well having thrown 40 postseason innings with a WHIP of 1.23 and an ERA of 4.50. But I think this all changes today. Today I believe the most potent offense in baseball, one that averaged 9.14 hits per game and 5.50 runs per game finally gets to a pitcher who has shut them out this season. And I believe that David Price shows why he was so coveted by teams trying to compete at the deadline and throws them 8 innings of one-run baseball. My prediction is an 8-1 Blue Jays victory.
David Price: 8 IP, 12 Ks, 2 BB, 5 HA, 1 ER
Roberto Osuna: 1 IP, 2 Ks, 0 BB, 0 HA, 0 ERs
Yovani Gallardo: 4 IP, 3 Ks, 2 BB, 12 HA, 6 ERs
Chi Chi Gonzalez: 1.2 IP, 0 Ks, 3 BB, 5 HA, 2 ERs
Ross Ohlendorf: 1.1 IP, 2 K, 0 BB, 1 HA, 0 ERs
Sam Dyson: 1 IP, 1 K, 0 BB, 1 HA, 0 ERs
- Teams to score 5+ runs in game 1 of the ALDS are 27-4 and 3 of the 4 losses were to the Yankees with the last one being to the Twins.
- The Athletics loss to the Twins in game 1 of the 2002 ALDS is also the only time a team scored 5+ runs at home and lost (15-1).
- No team has ever lost game 1 of the ALDS when scoring 8+ runs (15-0), those teams are 8-7 in the series.
- The last team to score 8+ runs in a game was the Orioles in 2014, they swept the Detroit Tigers and then were swept by the Royals.
Houston Astros - Kansas City RoyalsThis second game of the day pits Astros' right Collin McHugh against Royals' right-handed flamethrower Yordano Ventura. McHugh was very good this season but I think the Royals get to him in the first two innings when he was most vulnerable all season. Batters against McHugh in the first inning: .302/.390/.468 and in the second inning: .295/.343/.426, from that point on he gets better but I think in this case those 2 innings are enough for Ventura and the Royals bullpen. The Royals score 2 in the first and 1 in the second before McHugh eventually goes the next 4 innings without allowing a run. While Ventura continues where he left off last postseason throwing the Royals 7 innings allowing 2 runs before the Royals bullpen locks down the win. I have the Royals winning this game by a score of 4-2.
Yordano Ventura: 7 IP, 6 Ks, 2 BB, 7 HA, 2 ERs
Kelvin Herrera: 1 IP, 2 Ks, 0 BB, 1 HA, 0 ERs
Wade Davis: 1 IP, 2 Ks, 0 BB, 0 HA, 0 ERs
Collin McHugh: 6 IP, 3 Ks, 1 BB, 9 HA, 3 ERs
Pat Neshek: 1 IP, 1 K, 0 BB, 3 HA, 1 ER
Tony Sipp: 1 IP, 1 K, 0 BB, 1 HA, 0 ERs
- Teams to allow 2 runs or fewer in game 1 of the ALDS are 22-2 in that game
- Teams to allow 2 runs or fewer in game 1 of the ALDS are 16-8 in the series